← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Yushin Okami won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1490

Yushin OkamivsLucio LinharesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · Wednesday, March 31, 2010Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Yushin Okami won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:47

Model Prediction: Yushin Okami wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Yushin Okami wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yushin Okami at -650 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yushin Okami has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yushin Okami has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yushin Okami

Red Corner

Lucio Linhares

Blue Corner

-650

(87%)

Vegas Odds

+475

(17%)

1491

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

189.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yushin Okami

oldest →

vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13

KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13

SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17

vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18

vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18

latest

Lucio LinharesNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yushin OkamiMetricLucio Linhares

2.06

Strikes / min

0.99

2.25

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

60%

Strike defense

34%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

1.86

84%

Takedown defense

50%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.19Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap-2.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yushin OkamiLucio Linhares

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yushin Okami(10 fights)Lucio Linhares(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yushin OkamiTargetLucio Linhares

By target zone

69% acc · 96%

Head

8% acc · 38%

100% acc · 4%

Body

Leg

63% acc · 63%

By position

68% acc · 82%

Distance

18% acc · 100%

Clinch

75% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yushin Okami rounds

even

Lucio Linhares rounds

Round 1Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control2:31

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 72

Sig Strikes

8 / 44

69%

Sig Str %

17.5%

57 / 80

Total Strikes

9 / 45

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:31

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lucio Linhares	5 / 27	6 / 28	0 / 2
1	Yushin Okami	28 / 36	35 / 44	0 / 0
2	Lucio Linhares	3 / 17	3 / 17	0 / 0
2	Yushin Okami	22 / 36	22 / 36	0 / 0

Yushin Okami

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12

Lucio Linhares

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach—

Fights1