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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Yushin Okami won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1368

Yushin OkamivsHector LombardUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · Saturday, March 2, 2013Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Yushin Okami won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yushin Okami wins(66.5%)

Actual result: Yushin Okami wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yushin Okami at +185 American odds

+$185 profit

$285 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Hector Lombard is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Yushin Okami has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Yushin Okami has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Yushin Okami

Red Corner

Hector Lombard

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1491

Elo

1368

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yushin Okami

oldest →

vs Alan Belcher · Dec 12

KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13

SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17

vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18

vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18

latest

Hector LombardL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16

vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17

KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17

vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18

vs Thales Leites · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yushin OkamiMetricHector Lombard

2.06

Strikes / min

3.02

2.25

Strikes absorbed / min

3.35

60%

Strike defense

53%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

1.69

84%

Takedown defense

77%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yushin OkamiHector Lombard

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yushin Okami(10 fights)Hector Lombard(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +123.7|Blue -123.7

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -15.0|Blue +15.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yushin OkamiTargetHector Lombard

By target zone

32% acc · 65%

Head

42% acc · 67%

100% acc · 24%

Body

86% acc · 27%

67% acc · 11%

Leg

75% acc · 7%

By position

33% acc · 68%

Distance

49% acc · 89%

100% acc · 22%

Clinch

67% acc · 9%

67% acc · 11%

Ground

50% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yushin Okami rounds

even

Hector Lombard rounds

Round 1Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control2:01

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control2:20

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Hector Lombard edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:28Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 89

Sig Strikes

45 / 89

38%

Sig Str %

49.3%

65 / 120

Total Strikes

109 / 158

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 3

66.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:21

Ctrl Time

3:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Hector Lombard	13 / 26	31 / 46	0 / 2
1	Yushin Okami	14 / 33	29 / 49	2 / 2
2	Hector Lombard	10 / 22	29 / 41	0 / 0
2	Yushin Okami	19 / 36	29 / 48	1 / 1
3	Hector Lombard	22 / 41	49 / 71	0 / 1
3	Yushin Okami	4 / 20	7 / 23	0 / 2

Yushin Okami

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12

Hector Lombard

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11