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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Yushin Okami won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1352

Yushin OkamivsAlan BelcherUFC Prediction Result

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · Saturday, December 29, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Yushin Okami won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yushin Okami wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Yushin Okami wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yushin Okami at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alan Belcher is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Yushin Okami has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Yushin Okami has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yushin Okami

Red Corner

Alan Belcher

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1491

Elo

1352

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yushin Okami

oldest →

vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13

KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13

SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17

vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18

vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18

latest

Alan Belcher

oldest →

SUBvs Patrick Cote · May 10

KOvs Jason MacDonald · Sep 11

KOvs Rousimar Palhares · May 12

vs Michael Bisping · Apr 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yushin OkamiMetricAlan Belcher

2.06

Strikes / min

2.70

2.25

Strikes absorbed / min

3.10

60%

Strike defense

59%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

0.44

84%

Takedown defense

55%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yushin OkamiAlan Belcher

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yushin Okami(10 fights)Alan Belcher(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +139.3|Blue -139.3

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yushin OkamiTargetAlan Belcher

By target zone

37% acc · 70%

Head

15% acc · 67%

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 33%

By position

19% acc · 25%

Distance

21% acc · 100%

67% acc · 10%

Clinch

87% acc · 65%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yushin Okami rounds

even

Alan Belcher rounds

Round 1Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:03

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:28Control

Round 2Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control3:38

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 3Yushin Okami edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control3:20

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 44

Sig Strikes

6 / 28

44.7%

Sig Str %

21%

81 / 115

Total Strikes

15 / 39

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

11%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:01

Ctrl Time

3:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alan Belcher	3 / 13	6 / 17	0 / 0	1
1	Yushin Okami	8 / 16	26 / 36	0 / 1	0
2	Alan Belcher	1 / 8	5 / 13	0 / 0	1
2	Yushin Okami	5 / 13	19 / 28	1 / 3	0
3	Alan Belcher	2 / 7	4 / 9	0 / 0	0
3	Yushin Okami	7 / 15	36 / 51	0 / 1	0

Yushin Okami

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12

Alan Belcher

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights5