Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sean Spencer won · S-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1358

Yuri VillefortvsSean SpencerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · Wednesday, September 4, 2013Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Sean Spencer won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYuri Villefort: WrestlervsSean Spencer: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Yuri Villefort wins(81.4%)

Actual result: Sean Spencer wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yuri Villefort at -220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean Spencer enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sean Spencer has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Sean Spencer (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yuri Villefort

Red Corner

Sean Spencer

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1352

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yuri Villefort

oldest →

vs Nah-Shon Burrell · Feb 13

latest

Sean SpencerL3 streak

oldest →

vs Alex Garcia · Mar 14

vs Paulo Thiago · Sep 14

vs Cathal Pendred · Jan 15

KOvs Mike Pyle · Feb 16

SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yuri VillefortMetricSean Spencer

3.18

Strikes / min

4.24

5.42

Strikes absorbed / min

4.02

55%

Strike defense

60%

2.00

TDs / 15 min

0.14

40%

Takedown defense

68%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.24Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap+0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yuri VillefortSean Spencer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yuri Villefort(2 fights)Sean Spencer(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -5.5|Blue +5.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yuri VillefortTargetSean Spencer

By target zone

26% acc · 46%

Head

33% acc · 90%

50% acc · 17%

Body

58% acc · 7%

100% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

40% acc · 96%

Distance

34% acc · 91%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

67% acc · 8%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yuri Villefort rounds

even

Sean Spencer rounds

Round 1Yuri Villefort edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:13

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control0:22

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sean Spencer edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:02

55Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

69 / 171

Sig Strikes

99 / 281

40.7%

Sig Str %

33%

70 / 173

Total Strikes

100 / 282

1 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

11%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:37

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Spencer	23 / 81	23 / 81	0 / 0
1	Yuri Villefort	25 / 61	25 / 61	0 / 2
2	Sean Spencer	21 / 74	22 / 75	0 / 0
2	Yuri Villefort	18 / 40	19 / 42	1 / 3
3	Sean Spencer	55 / 126	55 / 126	0 / 0
3	Yuri Villefort	26 / 70	26 / 70	0 / 2

Yuri Villefort

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2

Sean Spencer

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights8