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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Carli Judice won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1466

Elo1542

Yuneisy DubenvsCarli JudiceUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Saturday, March 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Carli Judice won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:40

Style matchupYuneisy Duben: Pressure fightervsCarli Judice: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Yuneisy Duben wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Carli Judice wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yuneisy Duben at +250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Carli Judice is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Yuneisy Duben has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Carli Judice has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Carli Judice (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yuneisy Duben

Red Corner

Carli Judice

Blue Corner

+250

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-310

(76%)

1466

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'4"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yuneisy Duben

oldest →

DECvs Jeisla Chaves · Jun 26

latest

Carli JudiceW2 streak

oldest →

vs Gabriella Fernandes · Jun 24

KOvs Nicolle Caliari · Jul 25

vs Juliana Miller · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yuneisy DubenMetricCarli Judice

13.53

Strikes / min

9.32

10.75

Strikes absorbed / min

6.62

53%

Strike defense

57%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.52

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.78evenly matched on net striking+2.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yuneisy DubenCarli Judice

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yuneisy Duben(2 fights)Carli Judice(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -75.5|Blue +75.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.1|Blue -49.1

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yuneisy DubenTargetCarli Judice

By target zone

25% acc · 57%

Head

35% acc · 71%

Body

56% acc · 29%

67% acc · 43%

Leg

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 88%

Clinch

Ground

67% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yuneisy Duben rounds

even

Carli Judice rounds

Round 1Carli Judice edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 41

Sig Strikes

17 / 43

34%

Sig Str %

39%

14 / 41

Total Strikes

19 / 45

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Carli Judice	17 / 43	19 / 45	0 / 0	0
1	Yuneisy Duben	14 / 41	14 / 41	0 / 0	0

Yuneisy Duben

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights2

Carli Judice

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4