Featherweight

3 Rounds

Youssef Zalal won · Decision R3

Elo1526

Elo1393

Youssef ZalalvsPeter BarrettUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Saturday, August 8, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Youssef Zalal won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYoussef Zalal: Submission grapplervsPeter Barrett: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Youssef Zalal wins(66.0%)

Actual result: Youssef Zalal wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Youssef Zalal at -480 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Youssef Zalal threatens submissions; Peter Barrett has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Youssef Zalal has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Youssef Zalal

Red Corner

Peter Barrett

Blue Corner

-480

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+340

(23%)

1526

Elo

1393

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Youssef Zalal

oldest →

SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24

SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24

vs Calvin Kattar · Feb 25

SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25

DECvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 26

latest

Peter Barrett

oldest →

SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Youssef ZalalMetricPeter Barrett

2.78

Strikes / min

4.18

1.79

Strikes absorbed / min

4.32

64%

Strike defense

42%

1.84

TDs / 15 min

1.39

55%

Takedown defense

66%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.99Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-0.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Youssef ZalalPeter Barrett

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Youssef Zalal(10 fights)Peter Barrett(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.5|Blue -133.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Youssef ZalalTargetPeter Barrett

By target zone

54% acc · 74%

Head

30% acc · 57%

60% acc · 11%

Body

75% acc · 39%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

50% acc · 4%

By position

59% acc · 76%

Distance

31% acc · 65%

33% acc · 2%

Clinch

89% acc · 35%

63% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Youssef Zalal rounds

even

Peter Barrett rounds

Round 1Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:28

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control3:42

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 3Youssef Zalal edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control2:44

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 92

Sig Strikes

23 / 57

57%

Sig Str %

45.7%

82 / 129

Total Strikes

68 / 107

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 2

58%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:54

Ctrl Time

1:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Peter Barrett	8 / 28	20 / 40	0 / 1	0
1	Youssef Zalal	32 / 53	40 / 63	0 / 0	0
2	Peter Barrett	5 / 8	17 / 23	0 / 0	0
2	Youssef Zalal	6 / 11	17 / 29	1 / 2	2
3	Peter Barrett	10 / 21	31 / 44	0 / 1	0
3	Youssef Zalal	16 / 28	25 / 37	2 / 3	1

Youssef Zalal

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11

Peter Barrett

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2