← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Yoshihiro Akiyama won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1354

Yoshihiro AkiyamavsAmir SadollahUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Saturday, September 20, 2014Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Yoshihiro Akiyama won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYoshihiro Akiyama: WrestlervsAmir Sadollah: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Amir Sadollah wins(63.0%)

Actual result: Yoshihiro Akiyama wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Amir Sadollah at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yoshihiro Akiyama enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Yoshihiro Akiyama has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yoshihiro Akiyama

Red Corner

Amir Sadollah

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1490

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yoshihiro AkiyamaL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chris Leben · Jul 10

vs Michael Bisping · Oct 10

KOvs Vitor Belfort · Aug 11

vs Jake Shields · Feb 12

vs Alberto Mina · Nov 15

latest

Amir Sadollah

oldest →

vs Peter Sobotta · Nov 10

KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Mar 11

vs Duane Ludwig · Aug 11

vs Jorge Lopez · May 12

vs Dan Hardy · Sep 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yoshihiro AkiyamaMetricAmir Sadollah

3.10

Strikes / min

4.71

3.62

Strikes absorbed / min

3.55

57%

Strike defense

60%

2.29

TDs / 15 min

0.57

92%

Takedown defense

60%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yoshihiro AkiyamaAmir Sadollah

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yoshihiro Akiyama(6 fights)Amir Sadollah(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.8|Blue -136.8

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +217.0|Blue -217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yoshihiro AkiyamaTargetAmir Sadollah

By target zone

45% acc · 89%

Head

31% acc · 57%

100% acc · 11%

Body

80% acc · 10%

Leg

74% acc · 33%

By position

43% acc · 46%

Distance

37% acc · 74%

0% acc

Clinch

75% acc · 14%

53% acc · 54%

Ground

56% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yoshihiro Akiyama rounds

even

Amir Sadollah rounds

Round 1Yoshihiro Akiyama edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:51

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control2:36

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Yoshihiro Akiyama edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control2:28

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 119

Sig Strikes

42 / 101

48%

Sig Str %

39.7%

94 / 165

Total Strikes

63 / 124

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

41.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:55

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Amir Sadollah	9 / 25	19 / 35	0 / 0
1	Yoshihiro Akiyama	8 / 15	28 / 40	1 / 2
2	Amir Sadollah	24 / 42	28 / 48	0 / 0
2	Yoshihiro Akiyama	16 / 40	22 / 46	1 / 3
3	Amir Sadollah	9 / 34	16 / 41	0 / 0
3	Yoshihiro Akiyama	33 / 64	44 / 79	0 / 0

Yoshihiro Akiyama

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6

Amir Sadollah

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights7