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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Yosdenis Cedeno won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1355
Yosdenis Cedeno
Elo1491
Jerrod Sanders

Yosdenis CedenovsJerrod SandersUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · Wednesday, July 16, 2014Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Yosdenis Cedeno won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yosdenis Cedeno wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Yosdenis Cedeno wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yosdenis Cedeno at +170 American odds

+$170 profit

$270 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yosdenis Cedeno enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Yosdenis Cedeno is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jerrod Sanders has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Yosdenis Cedeno has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jerrod Sanders has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yosdenis Cedeno
Red Corner
VS
Jerrod Sanders
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
1355
Elo
1491
41
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yosdenis CedenoL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Ernest Chavez · Feb 14
L
vs Chad Laprise · Oct 14
L
vs Cody Pfister · Jul 15
latest
Jerrod Sanders
oldest →
W
vs Russell Doane · Jul 15
L
SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Jul 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yosdenis CedenoMetricJerrod Sanders
1.64
Strikes / min
0.88
1.60
Strikes absorbed / min
1.14
67%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.20
31%
Takedown defense
50%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes26.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Yosdenis CedenoJerrod Sanders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Yosdenis Cedeno(4 fights)Jerrod Sanders(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -135.6|Blue +135.6
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yosdenis CedenoTargetJerrod Sanders

By target zone

8
50% acc · 62%
Head
1
50% acc · 50%
4
100% acc · 31%
Body
1
100% acc · 50%
1
100% acc · 8%
Leg
0

By position

1
100% acc · 8%
Distance
1
100% acc · 50%
1
100% acc · 8%
Clinch
0
11
58% acc · 85%
Ground
1
50% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Yosdenis Cedeno rounds
0
even
0
Jerrod Sanders rounds
Round 1Yosdenis Cedeno edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control3:02
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:55Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
13 / 21
Sig Strikes
2 / 3
61%
Sig Str %
66%
27 / 38
Total Strikes
3 / 5
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
1
3:02
Ctrl Time
0:55

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jerrod Sanders2 / 33 / 50 / 00
1Yosdenis Cedeno13 / 2127 / 380 / 00

Yosdenis Cedeno

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4

Jerrod Sanders

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3