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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Cody Pfister won · U-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1357

Yosdenis CedenovsCody PfisterUFC Prediction Result

UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · Saturday, July 11, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Pfister won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yosdenis Cedeno wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Cody Pfister wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yosdenis Cedeno at -250 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Pfister enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Yosdenis Cedeno has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yosdenis Cedeno has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Cody Pfister has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Yosdenis Cedeno

Red Corner

Cody Pfister

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1355

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yosdenis Cedeno

oldest →

vs Ernest Chavez · Feb 14

KOvs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 14

vs Chad Laprise · Oct 14

latest

Cody PfisterL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs James Moontasri · Feb 15

SUBvs Sage Northcutt · Dec 15

vs Scott Holtzman · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yosdenis CedenoMetricCody Pfister

1.64

Strikes / min

1.41

1.60

Strikes absorbed / min

2.80

67%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.82

31%

Takedown defense

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yosdenis CedenoCody Pfister

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yosdenis Cedeno(4 fights)Cody Pfister(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.4|Blue +2.4

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +133.0|Blue -133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yosdenis CedenoTargetCody Pfister

By target zone

13% acc · 23%

Head

14% acc · 87%

20% acc · 8%

Body

33% acc · 13%

95% acc · 69%

Leg

0% acc

By position

35% acc · 100%

Distance

14% acc · 87%

Clinch

100% acc · 13%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yosdenis Cedeno rounds

even

Cody Pfister rounds

Round 1Yosdenis Cedeno edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Cody Pfister edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:58

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:49Control

Round 3Cody Pfister edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:14

2Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

4:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 76

Sig Strikes

15 / 98

31%

Sig Str %

21.3%

66 / 116

Total Strikes

70 / 158

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 7

—

TD %

58.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:12

Ctrl Time

7:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Pfister	8 / 68	8 / 68	0 / 1	0
1	Yosdenis Cedeno	21 / 60	21 / 60	0 / 0	0
2	Cody Pfister	5 / 24	27 / 48	2 / 2	0
2	Yosdenis Cedeno	4 / 12	30 / 38	0 / 0	0
3	Cody Pfister	2 / 6	35 / 42	3 / 4	0
3	Yosdenis Cedeno	1 / 4	15 / 18	0 / 0	1

Yosdenis Cedeno

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4

Cody Pfister

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4