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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Robert Whittaker won · U-DEC R5
Elo1382
Elo1511
Robert Whittaker editorial illustration

Yoel RomerovsRobert WhittakerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · Saturday, July 8, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Robert Whittaker won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupYoel Romero: Well-roundedvsRobert Whittaker: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Yoel Romero wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yoel Romero at +110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yoel Romero
Red Corner
VS
Robert Whittaker
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1382
Elo
1511
49
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 16
W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18
L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19
L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20
latest
Robert Whittaker
oldest →
W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24
W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24
L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25
W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yoel RomeroMetricRobert Whittaker
3.44
Strikes / min
4.39
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.36
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.57
TDs / 15 min
0.73
78%
Takedown defense
82%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.39evenly matched on net striking+1.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1646 vs 1633Strikes37.3 vs 52.0Takedowns1.6 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.1 vs 1.1
Yoel RomeroRobert Whittaker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Yoel Romero(10 fights)Robert Whittaker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -129.5|Blue +129.5
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yoel RomeroTargetRobert Whittaker

By target zone

20
29% acc · 42%
Head
46
28% acc · 62%
12
67% acc · 25%
Body
23
44% acc · 31%
16
76% acc · 33%
Leg
5
83% acc · 7%

By position

41
41% acc · 85%
Distance
59
30% acc · 80%
3
100% acc · 6%
Clinch
7
58% acc · 9%
4
100% acc · 8%
Ground
8
57% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Yoel Romero rounds
0
even
3
Robert Whittaker rounds
Round 1Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:53
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control3:20
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:02
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 5Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
48 / 107
Sig Strikes
74 / 221
45.2%
Sig Str %
31.8%
114 / 175
Total Strikes
94 / 244
4 / 18
TDs
0 / 0
16.6%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:15
Ctrl Time
1:33

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Robert Whittaker7 / 257 / 250 / 00
1Yoel Romero12 / 1814 / 201 / 40
2Robert Whittaker6 / 2210 / 270 / 00
2Yoel Romero6 / 1249 / 552 / 60
3Robert Whittaker11 / 5313 / 550 / 00
3Yoel Romero5 / 165 / 160 / 30
4Yoel Romero7 / 188 / 191 / 40
4Robert Whittaker19 / 4219 / 420 / 00
5Robert Whittaker31 / 7945 / 950 / 00
5Yoel Romero18 / 4338 / 650 / 10

Yoel Romero

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Robert Whittaker

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights26