Featherweight

3 Rounds

Gabriel Santos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1512

YizhavsGabriel SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Saturday, September 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gabriel Santos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYizha: WrestlervsGabriel Santos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Gabriel Santos wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Gabriel Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gabriel Santos at -270 American odds

+$37 profit

$137 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yizha is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Gabriel Santos has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Gabriel Santos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yizha

Red Corner

Gabriel Santos

Blue Corner

+220

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-270

(73%)

1491

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yizha

oldest →

vs JeongYeong Lee · Feb 23

KOvs Westin Wilson · Aug 25

vs Kaan Ofli · Jan 26

latest

Gabriel Santos

oldest →

vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 23

KOvs David Onama · Jun 23

SUBvs Jack Jenkins · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

YizhaMetricGabriel Santos

3.25

Strikes / min

4.35

2.88

Strikes absorbed / min

4.31

49%

Strike defense

45%

3.42

TDs / 15 min

3.80

64%

Takedown defense

87%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

YizhaGabriel Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yizha(4 fights)Gabriel Santos(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +140.0|Blue -140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

YizhaTargetGabriel Santos

By target zone

37% acc · 63%

Head

57% acc · 59%

62% acc · 20%

Body

94% acc · 22%

88% acc · 17%

Leg

93% acc · 18%

By position

44% acc · 98%

Distance

62% acc · 70%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

50% acc · 2%

Ground

82% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yizha rounds

even

Gabriel Santos rounds

Round 1Gabriel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Gabriel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:04

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:23Control

Round 3Gabriel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 92

Sig Strikes

76 / 112

40%

Sig Str %

74.7%

96 / 160

Total Strikes

110 / 150

0 / 4

TDs

2 / 2

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

6:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gabriel Santos	46 / 73	46 / 73	0 / 0
1	Yizha	23 / 41	23 / 41	0 / 0
2	Gabriel Santos	19 / 27	32 / 41	1 / 1
2	Yizha	15 / 40	23 / 51	0 / 2
3	Gabriel Santos	11 / 12	32 / 36	1 / 1
3	Yizha	3 / 11	50 / 68	0 / 2

Yizha

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Gabriel Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4