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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Luis Felipe Dias won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1474
Elo1526

YiSak LeevsLuis Felipe DiasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Official fight result

Luis Felipe Dias won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:40

Model Prediction: YiSak Lee wins(50.0%)

Actual result: Luis Felipe Dias wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

YiSak Lee at +126 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

YiSak Lee
Red Corner
VS
Luis Felipe Dias
Blue Corner
+126
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-162
(62%)
1474
Elo
1526
N/A
Age
31
N/A
Stance
N/A
N/A
Height
5'10"
N/A
Reach
187.96 cm

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

YiSak LeeMetricLuis Felipe Dias
Strikes / min
1.77
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
Strike defense
52%
TDs / 15 min
6.24
Takedown defense
66%
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -51.6|Blue +51.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

YiSak LeeTargetLuis Felipe Dias

By target zone

3
20% acc · 30%
Head
14
45% acc · 67%
1
50% acc · 10%
Body
3
75% acc · 14%
6
75% acc · 60%
Leg
4
80% acc · 19%

By position

10
40% acc · 100%
Distance
18
50% acc · 86%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
3
75% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
YiSak Lee rounds
0
even
1
Luis Felipe Dias rounds
Round 1Luis Felipe Dias edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
10 / 25
Sig Strikes
21 / 40
40%
Sig Str %
52%
10 / 25
Total Strikes
21 / 40
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Luis Felipe Dias21 / 4021 / 400 / 00
1YiSak Lee10 / 2510 / 250 / 00

YiSak Lee

Stance
Height
Reach
Fights1

Luis Felipe Dias

Stance
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights1