← All fights/Event page

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Yazmin Jauregui won · U-DEC R3

Elo1498

Elo1525

Yazmin JaureguivsIasmin LucindoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · Saturday, August 13, 2022San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Yazmin Jauregui won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYazmin Jauregui: Pressure fightervsIasmin Lucindo: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Yazmin Jauregui wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Yazmin Jauregui wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yazmin Jauregui at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yazmin Jauregui has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yazmin Jauregui

Red Corner

Iasmin Lucindo

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1498

Elo

1525

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'3"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yazmin Jauregui

oldest →

KOvs Istela Nunes · Dec 22

KOvs Denise Gomes · Jul 23

vs Sam Hughes · Feb 24

SUBvs Ketlen Souza · Sep 24

latest

Iasmin Lucindo

oldest →

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 23

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 24

vs Marina Rodriguez · Oct 24

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 25

vs Angela Hill · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yazmin JaureguiMetricIasmin Lucindo

6.64

Strikes / min

3.22

5.25

Strikes absorbed / min

2.80

54%

Strike defense

62%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.28

100%

Takedown defense

68%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39evenly matched on net striking+0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yazmin JaureguiIasmin Lucindo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yazmin Jauregui(5 fights)Iasmin Lucindo(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -26.7|Blue +26.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yazmin JaureguiTargetIasmin Lucindo

By target zone

33% acc · 60%

Head

28% acc · 64%

36% acc · 10%

Body

68% acc · 23%

74% acc · 29%

Leg

82% acc · 14%

By position

39% acc · 94%

Distance

36% acc · 97%

63% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yazmin Jauregui rounds

even

Iasmin Lucindo rounds

Round 1Yazmin Jauregui edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:02

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 2Yazmin Jauregui edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:11

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 3Yazmin Jauregui edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 218

Sig Strikes

66 / 181

39%

Sig Str %

36%

87 / 219

Total Strikes

66 / 181

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:13

Ctrl Time

0:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Iasmin Lucindo	25 / 60	25 / 60	0 / 0
1	Yazmin Jauregui	31 / 77	31 / 77	0 / 0
2	Iasmin Lucindo	23 / 59	23 / 59	0 / 2
2	Yazmin Jauregui	30 / 69	31 / 70	0 / 0
3	Iasmin Lucindo	18 / 62	18 / 62	0 / 0
3	Yazmin Jauregui	25 / 72	25 / 72	0 / 0

Yazmin Jauregui

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5

Iasmin Lucindo

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7