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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Denise Gomes won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1498

Elo1539

Yazmin JaureguivsDenise GomesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 8, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Denise Gomes won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:20

Style matchupYazmin Jauregui: Pressure fightervsDenise Gomes: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Yazmin Jauregui wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Denise Gomes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Denise Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Denise Gomes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Yazmin Jauregui has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Yazmin Jauregui has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yazmin Jauregui

Red Corner

Denise Gomes

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1498

Elo

1539

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'2"

162.56 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yazmin Jauregui

oldest →

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 22

KOvs Istela Nunes · Dec 22

vs Sam Hughes · Feb 24

SUBvs Ketlen Souza · Sep 24

latest

Denise GomesW4 streak

oldest →

vs Angela Hill · Nov 23

vs Eduarda Moura · Jun 24

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Nov 24

KOvs Elise Reed · May 25

vs Tecia Pennington · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yazmin JaureguiMetricDenise Gomes

6.64

Strikes / min

4.43

5.25

Strikes absorbed / min

3.16

54%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.45

100%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yazmin JaureguiDenise Gomes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yazmin Jauregui(5 fights)Denise Gomes(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -40.5|Blue +40.5

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +133.0|Blue -133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yazmin JaureguiTargetDenise Gomes

By target zone

0% acc

Head

85% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

67% acc · 24%

Clinch

Ground

93% acc · 76%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yazmin Jauregui rounds

even

Denise Gomes rounds

Round 1Denise Gomes edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 1

Sig Strikes

17 / 20

Sig Str %

85%

0 / 1

Total Strikes

21 / 24

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Denise Gomes	17 / 20	21 / 24	0 / 0	0
1	Yazmin Jauregui	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0	0

Yazmin Jauregui

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5

Denise Gomes

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights8