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Flyweight

3 Rounds

John Lineker won · U-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1492

Yasuhiro UrushitanivsJohn LinekerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · Saturday, November 10, 2012Macau, China

Official fight result

John Lineker won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYasuhiro Urushitani: StrikervsJohn Lineker: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: John Lineker wins(58.4%)

Actual result: John Lineker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Lineker at -215 American odds

+$47 profit

$147 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Lineker is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Yasuhiro Urushitani has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Yasuhiro Urushitani (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yasuhiro Urushitani

Red Corner

John Lineker

Blue Corner

+195

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-215

(68%)

1352

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'3"

170 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yasuhiro Urushitani

oldest →

KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Mar 12

latest

John Lineker

oldest →

vs John Dodson · Oct 16

vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16

vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17

KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18

vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yasuhiro UrushitaniMetricJohn Lineker

3.47

Strikes / min

5.36

4.71

Strikes absorbed / min

4.27

65%

Strike defense

56%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.56

80%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.24Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap+1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yasuhiro UrushitaniJohn Lineker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yasuhiro Urushitani(2 fights)John Lineker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -139.8|Blue +139.8

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +64.0|Blue -64.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yasuhiro UrushitaniTargetJohn Lineker

By target zone

31% acc · 55%

Head

27% acc · 49%

50% acc · 21%

Body

45% acc · 36%

68% acc · 24%

Leg

50% acc · 14%

By position

39% acc · 100%

Distance

34% acc · 96%

Clinch

25% acc · 1%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yasuhiro Urushitani rounds

even

John Lineker rounds

Round 1Yasuhiro Urushitani edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2John Lineker edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3John Lineker edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 158

Sig Strikes

77 / 224

38.7%

Sig Str %

32.7%

62 / 158

Total Strikes

79 / 226

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	John Lineker	11 / 62	11 / 62	0 / 0
1	Yasuhiro Urushitani	17 / 54	17 / 54	0 / 0
2	John Lineker	31 / 69	31 / 69	0 / 0
2	Yasuhiro Urushitani	18 / 52	18 / 52	0 / 0
3	John Lineker	35 / 93	37 / 95	0 / 0
3	Yasuhiro Urushitani	27 / 52	27 / 52	0 / 1

Yasuhiro Urushitani

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach—

Fights2

John Lineker

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16