← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Damir Hadzovic won · U-DEC R3

Elo1403

Elo1492

Yancy MedeirosvsDamir HadzovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 26, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Damir Hadzovic won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yancy Medeiros wins(63.2%)

Actual result: Damir Hadzovic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yancy Medeiros at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yancy Medeiros enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Damir Hadzovic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Damir Hadzovic is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Yancy Medeiros has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Damir Hadzovic has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yancy Medeiros has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Yancy Medeiros has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Yancy Medeiros

Red Corner

Damir Hadzovic

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1403

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yancy MedeirosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Erick Silva · Jun 17

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18

KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19

vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20

latest

Damir HadzovicL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Polo Reyes · Feb 19

vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19

SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20

vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yancy MedeirosMetricDamir Hadzovic

4.36

Strikes / min

3.34

5.67

Strikes absorbed / min

3.74

47%

Strike defense

59%

0.33

TDs / 15 min

0.91

73%

Takedown defense

34%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.31evenly matched on net striking-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yancy MedeirosDamir Hadzovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -89.4|Blue +89.4

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yancy MedeirosTargetDamir Hadzovic

By target zone

40% acc · 66%

Head

101

47% acc · 83%

67% acc · 27%

Body

83% acc · 8%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

42% acc · 82%

Distance

107

50% acc · 88%

92% acc · 12%

Clinch

61% acc · 12%

88% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yancy Medeiros rounds

even

Damir Hadzovic rounds

Round 1Damir Hadzovic edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:04

33Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 2Damir Hadzovic edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control0:40

56Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 3Yancy Medeiros edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control2:55

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

103 / 219

Sig Strikes

121 / 237

49%

Sig Str %

51.3%

109 / 227

Total Strikes

125 / 241

2 / 2

TDs

2 / 3

100%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

3:39

Ctrl Time

1:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Damir Hadzovic	33 / 66	34 / 67	1 / 1	0
1	Yancy Medeiros	32 / 78	34 / 80	0 / 0	0
2	Damir Hadzovic	56 / 113	59 / 116	1 / 2	0
2	Yancy Medeiros	45 / 99	48 / 102	0 / 0	0
3	Damir Hadzovic	32 / 58	32 / 58	0 / 0	0
3	Yancy Medeiros	26 / 42	27 / 45	2 / 2	2

Yancy Medeiros

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14

Damir Hadzovic

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10