← All fights/Event page

Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Yana Santos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1527

Elo1502

Yana SantosvsChelsea ChandlerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Yana Santos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yana Santos wins(58.2%)

Actual result: Yana Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yana Santos has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yana Santos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Chelsea Chandler (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Yana Santos

Red Corner

Chelsea Chandler

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1527

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yana SantosW2 streak

oldest →

vs Holly Holm · Mar 23

vs Karol Rosa · Jul 23

vs Miesha Tate · May 25

vs Macy Chiasson · Oct 25

latest

Chelsea Chandler

oldest →

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Oct 22

vs Norma Dumont · Jul 23

vs Josiane Nunes · Mar 24

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 25

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yana SantosMetricChelsea Chandler

4.41

Strikes / min

3.55

3.12

Strikes absorbed / min

4.44

52%

Strike defense

40%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

0.87

51%

Takedown defense

28%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.29Δ 2.18 — meaningful gap-0.89

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yana SantosChelsea Chandler

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yana Santos(5 fights)Chelsea Chandler(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.9|Blue -24.9

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +259.0|Blue -259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yana SantosTargetChelsea Chandler

By target zone

52% acc · 32%

Head

34% acc · 55%

76% acc · 40%

Body

74% acc · 45%

96% acc · 28%

Leg

By position

62% acc · 62%

Distance

33% acc · 52%

88% acc · 38%

Clinch

75% acc · 48%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yana Santos rounds

even

Chelsea Chandler rounds

Round 1Yana Santos edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:02

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 2Yana Santos edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:35

Knockdowns1

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:23

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:52Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

94 / 135

Sig Strikes

56 / 124

69.3%

Sig Str %

45%

135 / 186

Total Strikes

73 / 152

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:00

Ctrl Time

2:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chelsea Chandler	14 / 40	16 / 44	0 / 0
1	Yana Santos	33 / 44	38 / 50	0 / 0
2	Chelsea Chandler	17 / 34	24 / 46	0 / 0
2	Yana Santos	33 / 48	39 / 58	0 / 0
3	Chelsea Chandler	25 / 50	33 / 62	0 / 0
3	Yana Santos	28 / 43	58 / 78	0 / 0

Yana Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Chelsea Chandler

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6