Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Virna Jandiroba won · U-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1529

Yan XiaonanvsVirna JandirobaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Saturday, April 12, 2025Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Virna Jandiroba won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYan Xiaonan: Well-roundedvsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Virna Jandiroba wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Virna Jandiroba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Virna Jandiroba at -134 American odds

+$75 profit

$175 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Yan Xiaonan

Red Corner

Virna Jandiroba

Blue Corner

+114

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-134

(57%)

1500

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'3"

160.02 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yan Xiaonan

oldest →

vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 22

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22

KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23

vs Zhang Weili · Apr 24

vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24

latest

Virna Jandiroba

oldest →

vs Marina Rodriguez · May 23

vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24

SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25

DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yan XiaonanMetricVirna Jandiroba

4.69

Strikes / min

2.27

3.23

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

60%

Strike defense

55%

0.84

TDs / 15 min

3.13

64%

Takedown defense

72%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.46Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yan XiaonanVirna Jandiroba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -29.3|Blue +29.3

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yan XiaonanTargetVirna Jandiroba

By target zone

38% acc · 76%

Head

55% acc · 100%

43% acc · 18%

Body

33% acc · 6%

Leg

By position

32% acc · 71%

Distance

50% acc · 73%

Clinch

0% acc

83% acc · 29%

Ground

100% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yan Xiaonan rounds

even

Virna Jandiroba rounds

Round 1Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:03Control

Round 2Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:27

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:14Control

Round 3Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:42Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 44

Sig Strikes

11 / 20

44.7%

Sig Str %

38%

64 / 103

Total Strikes

96 / 131

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 11

—

TD %

46.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

9:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Virna Jandiroba	4 / 9	18 / 31	1 / 5	0
1	Yan Xiaonan	6 / 17	31 / 50	0 / 0	0
2	Virna Jandiroba	0 / 1	40 / 51	1 / 1	2
2	Yan Xiaonan	4 / 6	14 / 20	0 / 0	0
3	Virna Jandiroba	7 / 10	38 / 49	1 / 5	1
3	Yan Xiaonan	7 / 21	19 / 33	0 / 0	0

Yan Xiaonan

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights13

Virna Jandiroba

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights13