Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Yan Xiaonan won · Decision R3

Elo1500

Elo1374

Yan XiaonanvsSyuri KondoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Yan Xiaonan won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupYan Xiaonan: Well-roundedvsSyuri Kondo: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Yan Xiaonan wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Yan Xiaonan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yan Xiaonan at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Syuri Kondo has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yan Xiaonan

Red Corner

Syuri Kondo

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1500

Elo

1374

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'4"

160.02 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yan Xiaonan

oldest →

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22

KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23

vs Zhang Weili · Apr 24

vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24

vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25

latest

Syuri KondoL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Chanmi Jeon · Sep 17

KOvs Poliana Botelho · May 18

vs Ashley Yoder · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yan XiaonanMetricSyuri Kondo

4.69

Strikes / min

5.40

3.23

Strikes absorbed / min

7.22

60%

Strike defense

58%

0.84

TDs / 15 min

0.00

64%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.46Δ 3.28 — meaningful gap-1.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Yan XiaonanSyuri Kondo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)Syuri Kondo(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +125.8|Blue -125.8

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Yan XiaonanTargetSyuri Kondo

By target zone

115

42% acc · 77%

Head

33% acc · 70%

69% acc · 6%

Body

48% acc · 14%

62% acc · 17%

Leg

93% acc · 16%

By position

146

45% acc · 97%

Distance

39% acc · 95%

57% acc · 3%

Clinch

36% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Yan Xiaonan rounds

even

Syuri Kondo rounds

Round 1Yan Xiaonan edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Yan Xiaonan edged it

Sig. strikes52

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Yan Xiaonan edged it

Sig. strikes52

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

150 / 331

Sig Strikes

86 / 221

45%

Sig Str %

38.3%

150 / 333

Total Strikes

86 / 221

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Syuri Kondo	21 / 56	21 / 56	0 / 0
1	Yan Xiaonan	46 / 99	46 / 99	0 / 0
2	Syuri Kondo	36 / 85	36 / 85	0 / 0
2	Yan Xiaonan	52 / 117	52 / 119	0 / 1
3	Syuri Kondo	29 / 80	29 / 80	0 / 0
3	Yan Xiaonan	52 / 115	52 / 115	0 / 0

Yan Xiaonan

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights13

Syuri Kondo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights4