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Featherweight
5 Rounds
Upcoming
Elo1504
Yair Rodriguez
Elo1555
Jean Silva

Yair RodriguezvsJean SilvaUFC Prediction

Noche UFC: Rodriguez vs. Silva · Saturday, September 12, 2026Glendale, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupYair Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsJean Silva: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jean Silva is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Yair Rodriguez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Jean Silva has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Yair Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Jean Silva
Blue Corner
+267
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-337
(77%)
1504
Elo
1555
33
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Yair Rodriguez
oldest →
W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22
W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23
L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23
L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24
W
vs Patricio Freire · Apr 25
latest
Jean Silva
oldest →
W
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 24
W
KOvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Apr 25
L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Sep 25
W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Yair RodriguezMetricJean Silva
4.65
Strikes / min
4.82
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
52%
Strike defense
53%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.20
59%
Takedown defense
78%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.87evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801503152515481570← oldermost recent →
Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)Jean Silva(7 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO83%

Historical win share: Jean Silva earned 67% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission17%

Historical win share: Jean Silva earned 17% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Yair Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15

Jean Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights7