← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Xiao Long won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1472

Elo1483

Xiao LongvsQuang LeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, November 23, 2024Macau, China

Official fight result

Xiao Long won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:28

Style matchupXiao Long: Pressure fightervsQuang Le: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Xiao Long wins(62.9%)

Actual result: Xiao Long wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Xiao Long at -144 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Xiao Long enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Xiao Long is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Quang Le has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Quang Le has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Xiao Long

Red Corner

Quang Le

Blue Corner

-144

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+136

(42%)

1472

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Xiao LongL3 streak

oldest →

vs ChangHo Lee · Jun 24

vs SuYoung You · Aug 25

vs Cody Garbrandt · Mar 26

latest

Quang Le

oldest →

vs Chris Gutierrez · Aug 24

SUBvs Gaston Bolanos · May 25

KOvs Santiago Luna · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Xiao LongMetricQuang Le

5.06

Strikes / min

2.82

3.85

Strikes absorbed / min

4.59

50%

Strike defense

49%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

2.90

82%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.21Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap-1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Xiao LongQuang Le

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Xiao Long(4 fights)Quang Le(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.5|Blue +10.5

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Xiao LongTargetQuang Le

By target zone

42% acc · 76%

Head

31% acc · 61%

50% acc · 9%

Body

85% acc · 36%

72% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

45% acc · 92%

Distance

40% acc · 92%

45% acc · 6%

Clinch

71% acc · 8%

67% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Xiao Long rounds

even

Quang Le rounds

Round 1Xiao Long edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Xiao Long edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:21

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Xiao Long edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

87 / 192

Sig Strikes

64 / 155

48%

Sig Str %

43%

92 / 198

Total Strikes

68 / 160

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:26

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Quang Le	29 / 68	30 / 70	0 / 0
1	Xiao Long	40 / 82	41 / 83	0 / 1
2	Quang Le	25 / 67	26 / 68	1 / 1
2	Xiao Long	35 / 89	37 / 91	0 / 1
3	Quang Le	10 / 20	12 / 22	0 / 1
3	Xiao Long	12 / 21	14 / 24	0 / 1

Xiao Long

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Quang Le

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4