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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Lucie Pudilova won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1432
Elo1491
Lucie Pudilova

Wu YananvsLucie PudilovaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · Saturday, August 20, 2022Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Official fight result

Lucie Pudilova won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:04

Style matchupWu Yanan: Pressure fightervsLucie Pudilova: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Lucie Pudilova wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Lucie Pudilova wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lucie Pudilova at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Wu Yanan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Lucie Pudilova enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Wu Yanan
Red Corner
VS
Lucie Pudilova
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
1432
Elo
1491
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wu YananL3 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs Gina Mazany · Nov 17
W
SUBvs Lauren Mueller · Nov 18
L
DECvs Mizuki Inoue · Aug 19
L
vs Joselyne Edwards · Jan 21
L
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Apr 22
latest
Lucie PudilovaL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Liz Carmouche · Feb 19
L
SUBvs Antonina Shevchenko · Aug 19
L
vs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 23
L
vs Ailin Perez · Nov 23
L
vs Luana Carolina · Jul 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wu YananMetricLucie Pudilova
4.23
Strikes / min
3.60
4.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
49%
Strike defense
50%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
0.70
63%
Takedown defense
67%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1455 vs 1468Strikes4.2 vs 3.6Takedowns0.6 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.60Form-0.9 vs -0.7
Wu YananLucie Pudilova

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Wu Yanan(6 fights)Lucie Pudilova(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -59.1|Blue +59.1
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -3.0|Blue +3.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -987.0|Blue +987.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wu YananTargetLucie Pudilova

By target zone

7
39% acc · 27%
Head
29
45% acc · 74%
5
63% acc · 19%
Body
5
71% acc · 13%
14
88% acc · 54%
Leg
5
56% acc · 13%

By position

22
58% acc · 85%
Distance
14
28% acc · 36%
4
100% acc · 15%
Clinch
4
100% acc · 10%
0
Ground
21
78% acc · 54%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Wu Yanan rounds
0
even
2
Lucie Pudilova rounds
Round 1Lucie Pudilova edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:04
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:19Control
Round 2Lucie Pudilova edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
26 / 42
Sig Strikes
39 / 81
63%
Sig Str %
45%
32 / 48
Total Strikes
51 / 96
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 3
TD %
75%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
4:53

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Lucie Pudilova9 / 2216 / 301 / 20
1Wu Yanan13 / 1817 / 220 / 00
2Lucie Pudilova30 / 5935 / 661 / 11
2Wu Yanan13 / 2415 / 260 / 00

Wu Yanan

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6

Lucie Pudilova

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights10