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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Wu Yanan won · Submission R1
Elo1432
Elo1377
Lauren Mueller

Wu YananvsLauren MuellerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Wu Yanan won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:00

Style matchupWu Yanan: Pressure fightervsLauren Mueller: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Lauren Mueller wins(75.4%)

Actual result: Wu Yanan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lauren Mueller at -350 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Wu Yanan enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Wu Yanan threatens submissions; Lauren Mueller has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Wu Yanan
Red Corner
VS
Lauren Mueller
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-350
(78%)
1432
Elo
1377
30
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wu YananL5 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs Gina Mazany · Nov 17
L
DECvs Mizuki Inoue · Aug 19
L
vs Joselyne Edwards · Jan 21
L
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Apr 22
L
KOvs Lucie Pudilova · Aug 22
latest
Lauren MuellerL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Shana Dobson · Apr 18
L
vs Poliana Botelho · Apr 19
L
vs JJ Aldrich · Oct 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wu YananMetricLauren Mueller
4.23
Strikes / min
4.08
4.95
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
49%
Strike defense
58%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
0.70
63%
Takedown defense
71%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap+0.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1517Strikes22.0 vs 58.0Takedowns1.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 1.0
Wu YananLauren Mueller

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Wu Yanan(6 fights)Lauren Mueller(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +54.9|Blue -54.9
Recent Form
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wu YananTargetLauren Mueller

By target zone

8
36% acc · 44%
Head
9
29% acc · 53%
1
25% acc · 6%
Body
7
70% acc · 41%
9
90% acc · 50%
Leg
1
50% acc · 6%

By position

15
47% acc · 83%
Distance
12
34% acc · 71%
3
75% acc · 17%
Clinch
4
80% acc · 24%
0
Ground
1
33% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Wu Yanan rounds
0
even
0
Lauren Mueller rounds
Round 1Wu Yanan edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:13
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
18 / 36
Sig Strikes
17 / 43
50%
Sig Str %
39%
28 / 46
Total Strikes
27 / 55
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:13
Ctrl Time
0:30

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Lauren Mueller17 / 4327 / 550 / 10
1Wu Yanan18 / 3628 / 460 / 11

Wu Yanan

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6

Lauren Mueller

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4