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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Wilson Reis won · Decision R3
Elo1491
Wilson Reis
Elo1491

Wilson ReisvsUlka SasakiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · Saturday, February 11, 2017Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Wilson Reis won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Wilson Reis wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Wilson Reis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wilson Reis at +485 American odds

+$485 profit

$585 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ulka Sasaki has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Wilson Reis
Red Corner
VS
Ulka Sasaki
Blue Corner
+485
(17%)
Vegas Odds
-670
(87%)
1491
Elo
1491
41
Age
27
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'4"
Height
5'10"
165.1 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wilson Reis
oldest →
L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17
L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17
L
vs John Moraga · Apr 18
W
vs Ben Nguyen · Dec 18
L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19
latest
Ulka Sasaki
oldest →
W
SUBvs Willie Gates · May 16
W
SUBvs Justin Scoggins · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Sep 17
W
SUBvs Jenel Lausa · Jun 18
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Nov 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wilson ReisMetricUlka Sasaki
1.83
Strikes / min
—
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
Strike defense
—
5.15
TDs / 15 min
—
47%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1546 vs 1501Strikes24.4 vs 9.0Takedowns4.1 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.43 vs 0.75Form0.7 vs 0.3
Wilson ReisUlka Sasaki

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Wilson Reis(10 fights)Ulka Sasaki(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -83.0|Blue +83.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Wilson Reis

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13

Ulka Sasaki

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1