← All fights/Event page

Flyweight

3 Rounds

Wilson Reis won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1369

Wilson ReisvsJoby SanchezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA

Official fight result

Wilson Reis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Wilson Reis wins(75.4%)

Actual result: Wilson Reis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wilson Reis at -335 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joby Sanchez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Wilson Reis

Red Corner

Joby Sanchez

Blue Corner

-335

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+305

(25%)

1491

Elo

1369

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wilson Reis

oldest →

SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 17

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17

vs John Moraga · Apr 18

vs Ben Nguyen · Dec 18

KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19

latest

Joby SanchezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tateki Matsuda · Jan 15

KOvs Geane Herrera · Dec 15

SUBvs Roberto Sanchez · Feb 18

vs Mark De La Rosa · Nov 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wilson ReisMetricJoby Sanchez

1.83

Strikes / min

3.22

3.04

Strikes absorbed / min

2.82

55%

Strike defense

63%

5.15

TDs / 15 min

0.95

47%

Takedown defense

51%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.21Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Wilson ReisJoby Sanchez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Wilson Reis(10 fights)Joby Sanchez(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +122.8|Blue -122.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wilson ReisTargetJoby Sanchez

By target zone

24% acc · 59%

Head

21% acc · 80%

40% acc · 9%

Body

36% acc · 20%

100% acc · 32%

Leg

By position

30% acc · 82%

Distance

20% acc · 75%

50% acc · 9%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 9%

Ground

56% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Wilson Reis rounds

even

Joby Sanchez rounds

Round 1Wilson Reis edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control1:32

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Joby Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns3

Control2:09

Knockdowns0

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Wilson Reis edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns4

Control2:51

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 67

Sig Strikes

20 / 86

31.3%

Sig Str %

21.3%

70 / 138

Total Strikes

36 / 102

9 / 14

TDs

0 / 0

79%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:32

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joby Sanchez	4 / 23	11 / 30	0 / 0	0
1	Wilson Reis	11 / 27	17 / 40	2 / 2	0
2	Joby Sanchez	13 / 36	21 / 44	0 / 0	0
2	Wilson Reis	4 / 19	19 / 40	3 / 8	0
3	Joby Sanchez	3 / 27	4 / 28	0 / 0	0
3	Wilson Reis	7 / 21	34 / 58	4 / 4	1

Wilson Reis

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

Joby Sanchez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5