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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Neil Magny won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1354
Elo1505
Neil Magny editorial illustration

William PatolinovsNeil MagnyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · Saturday, October 25, 2014Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Neil Magny won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:40

Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(55.4%)

Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Neil Magny at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

William Patolino
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1354
Elo
1505
23
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William Patolino
oldest →
L
SUBvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 13
W
DECvs Bobby Voelker · Dec 13
L
KOvs Matt Dwyer · Feb 15
latest
Neil Magny
oldest →
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24
W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25
W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25
L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William PatolinoMetricNeil Magny
—
Strikes / min
3.40
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
—
Strike defense
51%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.17
—
Takedown defense
55%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1555Strikes84.0 vs 38.9Takedowns2.5 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs 0.8
William PatolinoNeil Magny

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
William Patolino(4 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -151.1|Blue +151.1
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +238.0|Blue -238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

William Patolino

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4

Neil Magny

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37