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Welterweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Leonardo Santos won · Submission R2
Elo1354
Elo1433

William PatolinovsLeonardo SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · Saturday, June 8, 2013Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

Official fight result

Leonardo Santos won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:43

Model Prediction: Leonardo Santos wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Leonardo Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leonardo Santos at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

William Patolino
Red Corner
VS
Leonardo Santos
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
1354
Elo
1433
21
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William PatolinoL2 streak
oldest →
W
DECvs Bobby Voelker · Dec 13
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Oct 14
L
KOvs Matt Dwyer · Feb 15
latest
Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jun 19
W
vs Roman Bogatov · Jul 20
L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21
L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21
L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William PatolinoMetricLeonardo Santos
—
Strikes / min
2.82
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.40
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.88
—
Takedown defense
86%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
William Patolino(4 fights)Leonardo Santos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -78.8|Blue +78.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

William Patolino

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4

Leonardo Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10