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Welterweight
3 Rounds
William Patolino won · Decision R3
Elo1354
Elo1353
Bobby Voelker

William PatolinovsBobby VoelkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · Saturday, December 28, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

William Patolino won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Bobby Voelker wins(55.0%)

Actual result: William Patolino wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bobby Voelker at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • William Patolino enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Bobby Voelker enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

William Patolino
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Voelker
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1354
Elo
1353
22
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William PatolinoL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 13
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Oct 14
L
KOvs Matt Dwyer · Feb 15
latest
Bobby VoelkerL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Patrick Cote · Mar 13
L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 13
L
vs Lance Benoist · Jun 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William PatolinoMetricBobby Voelker
—
Strikes / min
4.01
—
Strikes absorbed / min
5.84
—
Strike defense
42%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.04
—
Takedown defense
66%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1463Strikes35.0 vs 46.5Takedowns2.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
William PatolinoBobby Voelker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
William Patolino(4 fights)Bobby Voelker(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -2.7|Blue +2.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

William Patolino

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4

Bobby Voelker

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4