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Featherweight

3 Rounds

William Gomis won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1506

Elo1488

William GomisvsYanis GhemmouriUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Saturday, September 2, 2023Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

William Gomis won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:20

Model Prediction: William Gomis wins(72.4%)

Actual result: William Gomis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

William Gomis at -198 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

William Gomis has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
William Gomis has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors William Gomis (53.5%).
William Gomis has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

William Gomis

Red Corner

Yanis Ghemmouri

Blue Corner

-198

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1506

Elo

1488

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William Gomis

oldest →

vs Francis Marshall · Apr 23

vs Joanderson Brito · Sep 24

vs Hyder Amil · Mar 25

vs Robert Ruchala · Sep 25

DECvs Pat Sabatini · May 26

latest

Yanis Ghemmouri

oldest →

KOvs Payton Talbott · Jun 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William GomisMetricYanis Ghemmouri

3.20

Strikes / min

2.29

2.60

Strikes absorbed / min

5.14

61%

Strike defense

35%

0.73

TDs / 15 min

0.00

77%

Takedown defense

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60Δ 3.45 — meaningful gap-2.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

William GomisYanis Ghemmouri

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

William Gomis(7 fights)Yanis Ghemmouri(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.3|Blue -17.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

William GomisTargetYanis Ghemmouri

By target zone

33% acc · 19%

Head

0% acc

40% acc · 12%

Body

64% acc · 25%

84% acc · 69%

Leg

55% acc · 75%

By position

57% acc · 90%

Distance

35% acc · 86%

83% acc · 10%

Clinch

100% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

William Gomis rounds

even

Yanis Ghemmouri rounds

Round 1William Gomis edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2William Gomis edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:55

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:32Control

Round 3William Gomis edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 88

Sig Strikes

28 / 73

60.7%

Sig Str %

36.7%

61 / 99

Total Strikes

40 / 88

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 4

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:55

Ctrl Time

2:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yanis Ghemmouri	16 / 39	16 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	William Gomis	27 / 46	27 / 46	0 / 0	0
2	Yanis Ghemmouri	8 / 22	15 / 30	0 / 2	0
2	William Gomis	14 / 27	19 / 34	0 / 0	2
3	Yanis Ghemmouri	4 / 12	9 / 19	0 / 2	0
3	William Gomis	11 / 15	15 / 19	0 / 0	0

William Gomis

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Yanis Ghemmouri

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2