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Featherweight
3 Rounds
William Gomis won · U-DEC R3
Elo1506
William Gomis
Elo1466
Robert Ruchala

William GomisvsRobert RuchalaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Saturday, September 6, 2025Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

William Gomis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupWilliam Gomis: Well-roundedvsRobert Ruchala: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: William Gomis wins(78.6%)

Actual result: William Gomis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

William Gomis at -270 American odds

+$37 profit

$137 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • William Gomis has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Robert Ruchala (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

William Gomis
Red Corner
VS
Robert Ruchala
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
1506
Elo
1466
29
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William GomisL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Francis Marshall · Apr 23
W
KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Sep 23
W
vs Joanderson Brito · Sep 24
L
vs Hyder Amil · Mar 25
L
DECvs Pat Sabatini · May 26
latest
Robert Ruchala
oldest →
L
DECvs Jose Delano · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William GomisMetricRobert Ruchala
3.20
Strikes / min
3.37
2.60
Strikes absorbed / min
5.20
61%
Strike defense
45%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
1.00
77%
Takedown defense
71%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 2.43 — meaningful gap-1.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1546 vs 1500Strikes3.5 vs 2.3Takedowns0.9 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs 0.0
William GomisRobert Ruchala

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501470149015101530← oldermost recent →
William Gomis(7 fights)Robert Ruchala(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +39.3|Blue -39.3
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

William GomisTargetRobert Ruchala

By target zone

19
28% acc · 39%
Head
14
23% acc · 41%
17
59% acc · 35%
Body
16
57% acc · 47%
13
81% acc · 27%
Leg
4
67% acc · 12%

By position

37
36% acc · 76%
Distance
27
30% acc · 79%
12
100% acc · 24%
Clinch
7
100% acc · 21%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
William Gomis rounds
1
even
1
Robert Ruchala rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:01
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:28Control
Round 2Robert Ruchala edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:59Control
Round 3William Gomis edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns2
Control0:56
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
49 / 114
Sig Strikes
34 / 96
42.7%
Sig Str %
37.7%
66 / 132
Total Strikes
54 / 116
2 / 2
TDs
2 / 6
100%
TD %
44.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:57
Ctrl Time
4:36

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Robert Ruchala10 / 2912 / 311 / 10
1William Gomis14 / 3017 / 330 / 00
2Robert Ruchala8 / 1723 / 321 / 30
2William Gomis12 / 2922 / 390 / 00
3Robert Ruchala16 / 5019 / 530 / 20
3William Gomis23 / 5527 / 602 / 20

William Gomis

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7

Robert Ruchala

StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2