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Featherweight

3 Rounds

William Gomis won · S-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1538

William GomisvsJoanderson BritoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Saturday, September 28, 2024Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

William Gomis won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupWilliam Gomis: Well-roundedvsJoanderson Brito: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Joanderson Brito wins(56.4%)

Actual result: William Gomis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanderson Brito at -305 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

William Gomis has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
William Gomis has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors William Gomis (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

William Gomis

Red Corner

Joanderson Brito

Blue Corner

+245

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-305

(75%)

1506

Elo

1538

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William Gomis

oldest →

vs Francis Marshall · Apr 23

KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Sep 23

vs Hyder Amil · Mar 25

vs Robert Ruchala · Sep 25

DECvs Pat Sabatini · May 26

latest

Joanderson BritoW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Nov 23

KOvs Jack Shore · May 24

vs Pat Sabatini · Apr 25

vs Isaac Thomson · Dec 25

SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William GomisMetricJoanderson Brito

3.20

Strikes / min

2.43

2.60

Strikes absorbed / min

2.32

61%

Strike defense

44%

0.73

TDs / 15 min

3.38

77%

Takedown defense

47%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

William GomisJoanderson Brito

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

William Gomis(7 fights)Joanderson Brito(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -32.5|Blue +32.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +245.0|Blue -245.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

William GomisTargetJoanderson Brito

By target zone

46% acc · 37%

Head

23% acc · 31%

67% acc · 42%

Body

63% acc · 17%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

75% acc · 52%

By position

53% acc · 70%

Distance

38% acc · 79%

93% acc · 30%

Clinch

67% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

William Gomis rounds

even

Joanderson Brito rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control3:07

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:08Control

Round 2Joanderson Brito edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:34Control

Round 3William Gomis edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:45

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:58Control

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 71

Sig Strikes

29 / 67

58%

Sig Str %

43%

69 / 101

Total Strikes

57 / 105

0 / 3

TDs

3 / 6

TD %

61%

Sub Att

Rev

3:52

Ctrl Time

6:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joanderson Brito	9 / 19	20 / 30	1 / 2	1
1	William Gomis	9 / 17	22 / 33	0 / 2	0
2	Joanderson Brito	8 / 21	16 / 37	1 / 1	1
2	William Gomis	11 / 20	22 / 31	0 / 0	0
3	Joanderson Brito	12 / 27	21 / 38	1 / 3	0
3	William Gomis	23 / 34	25 / 37	0 / 1	0

William Gomis

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Joanderson Brito

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10