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Featherweight
3 Rounds
William Gomis won · U-DEC R3
Elo1506
William Gomis
Elo1493
Jarno Errens

William GomisvsJarno ErrensUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Saturday, September 3, 2022Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

William Gomis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: William Gomis wins(52.6%)

Actual result: William Gomis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

William Gomis at -215 American odds

+$47 profit

$147 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • William Gomis has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors William Gomis (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

William Gomis
Red Corner
VS
Jarno Errens
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
1506
Elo
1493
29
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

William Gomis
oldest →
W
KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Sep 23
W
vs Joanderson Brito · Sep 24
L
vs Hyder Amil · Mar 25
W
vs Robert Ruchala · Sep 25
L
DECvs Pat Sabatini · May 26
latest
Jarno Errens
oldest →
L
vs SeungWoo Choi · Aug 23
W
vs Steven Nguyen · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Aug 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

William GomisMetricJarno Errens
3.20
Strikes / min
3.29
2.60
Strikes absorbed / min
3.29
61%
Strike defense
61%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
0.00
77%
Takedown defense
33%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes2.6 vs 3.3Takedowns1.1 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.70 vs 0.30Form0.0 vs 0.0
William GomisJarno Errens

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
William Gomis(7 fights)Jarno Errens(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +12.8|Blue -12.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

William GomisTargetJarno Errens

By target zone

14
33% acc · 44%
Head
10
31% acc · 50%
10
56% acc · 31%
Body
8
57% acc · 40%
8
89% acc · 25%
Leg
2
29% acc · 10%

By position

27
44% acc · 84%
Distance
15
32% acc · 75%
2
67% acc · 6%
Clinch
5
83% acc · 25%
3
60% acc · 9%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
William Gomis rounds
0
even
0
Jarno Errens rounds
Round 1William Gomis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:19
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2William Gomis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:18
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3William Gomis edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control3:27
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
32 / 70
Sig Strikes
20 / 53
45.3%
Sig Str %
38.3%
69 / 121
Total Strikes
31 / 64
3 / 5
TDs
0 / 2
77.7%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
8:04
Ctrl Time
0:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jarno Errens7 / 179 / 190 / 10
1William Gomis10 / 2417 / 361 / 10
2Jarno Errens8 / 2412 / 280 / 10
2William Gomis10 / 2227 / 461 / 30
3Jarno Errens5 / 1210 / 170 / 01
3William Gomis12 / 2425 / 391 / 10

William Gomis

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7

Jarno Errens

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4