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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Pettis won · U-DEC R3
Elo1353
Elo1492
Sergio Pettis

Will CampuzanovsSergio PettisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · Saturday, November 16, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sergio Pettis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Will Campuzano wins(60.7%)

Actual result: Sergio Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Will Campuzano at +355 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Will Campuzano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Sergio Pettis has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Will Campuzano
Red Corner
VS
Sergio Pettis
Blue Corner
+355
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-400
(80%)
1353
Elo
1492
40
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Will CampuzanoL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Nick Pace · Dec 10
L
vs Chris Cariaso · Jan 11
L
vs Justin Scoggins · Mar 14
latest
Sergio Pettis
oldest →
L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17
W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18
L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18
L
vs Rob Font · Dec 18
W
vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Will CampuzanoMetricSergio Pettis
2.43
Strikes / min
3.88
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
57%
Strike defense
65%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
0.85
48%
Takedown defense
67%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.39Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap+0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1469 vs 1500Strikes39.0 vs —Takedowns0.5 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Will CampuzanoSergio Pettis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Will Campuzano(4 fights)Sergio Pettis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -138.9|Blue +138.9
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Will CampuzanoTargetSergio Pettis

By target zone

23
32% acc · 56%
Head
54
59% acc · 67%
15
88% acc · 37%
Body
13
87% acc · 16%
3
100% acc · 7%
Leg
14
100% acc · 17%

By position

35
43% acc · 85%
Distance
76
66% acc · 94%
2
100% acc · 5%
Clinch
3
75% acc · 4%
4
50% acc · 10%
Ground
2
100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Will Campuzano rounds
0
even
3
Sergio Pettis rounds
Round 1Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns3
Control1:28
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:33
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:21Control
Round 3Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:29
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
41 / 92
Sig Strikes
81 / 121
43.3%
Sig Str %
65.3%
75 / 131
Total Strikes
93 / 135
4 / 8
TDs
2 / 4
36%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
3
1
Rev
1
5:30
Ctrl Time
2:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sergio Pettis38 / 5439 / 550 / 11
1Will Campuzano11 / 2817 / 353 / 40
2Sergio Pettis26 / 3929 / 431 / 11
2Will Campuzano20 / 3726 / 440 / 10
3Sergio Pettis17 / 2825 / 371 / 21
3Will Campuzano10 / 2732 / 521 / 30

Will Campuzano

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4

Sergio Pettis

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14