Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Nick Pace won · SUB R3

Elo1353

Elo1351

Will CampuzanovsNick PaceUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · Saturday, December 4, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nick Pace won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:33

Model Prediction: Will Campuzano wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Nick Pace wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Will Campuzano at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Will Campuzano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Will Campuzano

Red Corner

Nick Pace

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1353

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Will CampuzanoL3 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Cariaso · Jan 11

vs Sergio Pettis · Nov 13

vs Justin Scoggins · Mar 14

latest

Nick PaceL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ivan Menjivar · Aug 11

vs Miguel Torres · Nov 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Will CampuzanoMetricNick Pace

2.43

Strikes / min

1.48

3.82

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

57%

Strike defense

57%

0.88

TDs / 15 min

2.52

48%

Takedown defense

54%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.39evenly matched on net striking-1.66

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Will Campuzano(4 fights)Nick Pace(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Will CampuzanoTargetNick Pace

By target zone

26% acc · 75%

Head

19% acc · 33%

100% acc · 19%

Body

100% acc · 22%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

89% acc · 44%

By position

29% acc · 75%

Distance

40% acc · 94%

Clinch

0% acc

44% acc · 25%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Will Campuzano rounds

even

Nick Pace rounds

Round 1Nick Pace edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:06

8Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

4:19Control

Round 2Nick Pace edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:16

7Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:16Control

Round 3Will Campuzano edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control2:51

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 51

Sig Strikes

18 / 44

29.3%

Sig Str %

41%

37 / 74

Total Strikes

57 / 89

1 / 2

TDs

7 / 9

50%

TD %

82%

Sub Att

Rev

3:13

Ctrl Time

8:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nick Pace	8 / 14	35 / 46	4 / 5	0
1	Will Campuzano	2 / 7	8 / 13	0 / 0	0
2	Nick Pace	7 / 15	18 / 27	2 / 3	0
2	Will Campuzano	3 / 20	7 / 25	1 / 2	0
3	Nick Pace	3 / 15	4 / 16	1 / 1	1
3	Will Campuzano	11 / 24	22 / 36	0 / 0	0

Will Campuzano

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Nick Pace

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights3