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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Bruno Silva won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1484
Wellington Turman editorial illustration
Elo1453
Bruno Silva

Wellington TurmanvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · Saturday, June 19, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:45

Model Prediction: Wellington Turman wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wellington Turman at +100 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Bruno Silva has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Wellington Turman
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Silva
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
1484
Elo
1453
30
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wellington TurmanL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 21
W
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 22
L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22
L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 23
L
SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23
latest
Bruno SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25
W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25
L
vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26
L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wellington TurmanMetricBruno Silva
3.23
Strikes / min
3.86
4.17
Strikes absorbed / min
5.35
45%
Strike defense
41%
1.55
TDs / 15 min
0.77
42%
Takedown defense
74%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.94evenly matched on net striking-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1489Strikes2.4 vs 4.0Takedowns2.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs 0.3
Wellington TurmanBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Wellington Turman(9 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +31.2|Blue -31.2
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +287.0|Blue -287.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wellington TurmanTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

0
Head
18
75% acc · 95%
1
100% acc · 100%
Body
1
50% acc · 5%
0
Leg
0

By position

1
100% acc · 100%
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
19
79% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Wellington Turman rounds
0
even
1
Bruno Silva rounds
Round 1Bruno Silva edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control2:52
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 1
Sig Strikes
19 / 26
100%
Sig Str %
73%
12 / 12
Total Strikes
28 / 37
0 / 10
TDs
0 / 2
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:52
Ctrl Time
1:38

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bruno Silva19 / 2628 / 370 / 20
1Wellington Turman1 / 112 / 120 / 100

Wellington Turman

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights23