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Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Weili Zhang won · S-DEC R5
Elo1492
Weili Zhang
Elo1427

Weili ZhangvsJoanna JedrzejczykUFC Prediction Result

UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Saturday, March 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Weili Zhang won

S-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Weili Zhang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joanna Jedrzejczyk at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Weili Zhang enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Weili Zhang (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Weili Zhang
Red Corner
VS
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1492
Elo
1427
30
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
160.02 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Weili ZhangW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Danielle Taylor · Aug 18
W
SUBvs Jessica Aguilar · Nov 18
W
vs Tecia Torres · Mar 19
latest
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
oldest →
L
vs Rose Namajunas · Apr 18
W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18
L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18
W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19
L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Weili ZhangMetricJoanna Jedrzejczyk
—
Strikes / min
6.28
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
—
Strike defense
62%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.27
—
Takedown defense
80%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1547 vs 1592Strikes6.2 vs 6.2Takedowns1.8 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.10Form1.0 vs 0.3
Weili ZhangJoanna Jedrzejczyk

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Weili Zhang(4 fights)Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +64.9|Blue -64.9
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Weili Zhang

StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights2

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15