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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Weili Zhang won · SUB R1
Elo1492
Weili Zhang
Elo1372
Jessica Aguilar

Weili ZhangvsJessica AguilarUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Weili Zhang won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:41

Model Prediction: Jessica Aguilar wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Weili Zhang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Aguilar at +425 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Weili Zhang enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Weili Zhang (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Weili Zhang
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Aguilar
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
1492
Elo
1372
29
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Weili ZhangW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Danielle Taylor · Aug 18
W
vs Tecia Torres · Mar 19
W
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Mar 20
latest
Jessica Aguilar
oldest →
L
vs Claudia Gadelha · Aug 15
L
vs Cortney Casey · May 17
W
vs Jodie Esquibel · Jul 18
L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Weili ZhangMetricJessica Aguilar
—
Strikes / min
4.93
—
Strikes absorbed / min
7.19
—
Strike defense
53%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.94
—
Takedown defense
50%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1485Strikes77.0 vs 85.0Takedowns1.0 vs 1.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.5
Weili ZhangJessica Aguilar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Weili Zhang(4 fights)Jessica Aguilar(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +120.7|Blue -120.7
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -2.8|Blue +2.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Weili Zhang

StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights2

Jessica Aguilar

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights5