← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Gabriella Fernandes won · SUB R2

Elo1562

Elo1509

Wang CongvsGabriella FernandesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, November 23, 2024Macau, China

Official fight result

Gabriella Fernandes won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:49

Style matchupWang Cong: Elusive strikervsGabriella Fernandes: Striker

Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.

Model Prediction: Wang Cong wins(57.5%)

Actual result: Gabriella Fernandes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wang Cong at -950 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Wang Cong enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Wang Cong has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Wang Cong has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Wang Cong

Red Corner

Gabriella Fernandes

Blue Corner

-950

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+750

(12%)

1562

Elo

1509

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wang CongW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 25

vs Ariane da Silva · Jun 25

vs Eduarda Moura · Feb 26

DECvs Tracy Cortez · Jul 26

latest

Gabriella Fernandes

oldest →

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 23

vs Tereza Bleda · Jun 23

vs Carli Judice · Jun 24

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Aug 25

KOvs Casey O'Neill · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wang CongMetricGabriella Fernandes

6.22

Strikes / min

3.51

2.19

Strikes absorbed / min

5.31

63%

Strike defense

53%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

0.42

84%

Takedown defense

68%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+4.03Δ 5.83 — meaningful gap-1.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Wang CongGabriella Fernandes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Wang Cong(6 fights)Gabriella Fernandes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.8|Blue -52.8

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wang CongTargetGabriella Fernandes

By target zone

23% acc · 33%

Head

26% acc · 72%

66% acc · 46%

Body

67% acc · 11%

77% acc · 22%

Leg

50% acc · 17%

By position

41% acc · 100%

Distance

31% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Wang Cong rounds

even

Gabriella Fernandes rounds

Round 1Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 111

Sig Strikes

18 / 59

41%

Sig Str %

29.5%

48 / 113

Total Strikes

19 / 61

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gabriella Fernandes	6 / 26	7 / 28	0 / 2	0
1	Wang Cong	23 / 56	25 / 58	0 / 0	0
2	Gabriella Fernandes	12 / 33	12 / 33	0 / 0	1
2	Wang Cong	23 / 55	23 / 55	0 / 1	0

Wang Cong

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6

Gabriella Fernandes

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6