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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Wang Cong won · U-DEC R3

Elo1562

Elo1463

Wang CongvsBruna BrasilUFC Prediction Result

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Saturday, February 8, 2025Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Wang Cong won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupWang Cong: Elusive strikervsBruna Brasil: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Wang Cong wins(59.0%)

Actual result: Wang Cong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Wang Cong enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Wang Cong has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Wang Cong has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Wang Cong (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Wang Cong

Red Corner

Bruna Brasil

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1562

Elo

1463

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wang CongW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 24

SUBvs Gabriella Fernandes · Nov 24

vs Ariane da Silva · Jun 25

vs Eduarda Moura · Feb 26

DECvs Tracy Cortez · Jul 26

latest

Bruna BrasilL2 streak

oldest →

vs Shauna Bannon · Jul 23

vs Loma Lookboonmee · Feb 24

vs Molly McCann · Jul 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 26

vs Alexia Thainara · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wang CongMetricBruna Brasil

6.22

Strikes / min

2.56

2.19

Strikes absorbed / min

3.75

63%

Strike defense

52%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

1.23

84%

Takedown defense

57%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+4.03Δ 5.22 — meaningful gap-1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Wang CongBruna Brasil

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Wang Cong(6 fights)Bruna Brasil(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +99.5|Blue -99.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Layoff

Red -119.0|Blue +119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wang CongTargetBruna Brasil

By target zone

38% acc · 37%

Head

37% acc · 35%

66% acc · 20%

Body

63% acc · 39%

88% acc · 43%

Leg

53% acc · 26%

By position

102

58% acc · 99%

Distance

48% acc · 97%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

33% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Wang Cong rounds

even

Bruna Brasil rounds

Round 1Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control0:01

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns1

Control0:02

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

103 / 181

Sig Strikes

31 / 64

57%

Sig Str %

47.3%

104 / 182

Total Strikes

31 / 64

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bruna Brasil	10 / 20	10 / 20	0 / 0
1	Wang Cong	30 / 49	30 / 49	1 / 1
2	Bruna Brasil	7 / 17	7 / 17	0 / 0
2	Wang Cong	35 / 60	35 / 60	0 / 0
3	Bruna Brasil	14 / 27	14 / 27	0 / 1
3	Wang Cong	38 / 72	39 / 73	1 / 1

Wang Cong

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6

Bruna Brasil

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7