Catch Weight

5 Rounds

Rich Franklin won · U-DEC R5

Elo1490

Wanderlei SilvavsRich FranklinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · Saturday, June 23, 2012Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Rich Franklin won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupWanderlei Silva: Well-roundedvsRich Franklin: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Rich Franklin wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Rich Franklin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rich Franklin at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Wanderlei Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rich Franklin has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Rich Franklin is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Wanderlei Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Rich Franklin (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Wanderlei Silva

Red Corner

Rich Franklin

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1490

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wanderlei SilvaW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chris Leben · Jul 11

KOvs Cung Le · Nov 11

KOvs Brian Stann · Mar 13

latest

Rich FranklinL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chuck Liddell · Jun 10

vs Forrest Griffin · Feb 11

KOvs Cung Le · Nov 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wanderlei SilvaMetricRich Franklin

2.79

Strikes / min

4.10

2.19

Strikes absorbed / min

2.07

60%

Strike defense

62%

0.97

TDs / 15 min

1.31

62%

Takedown defense

63%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+2.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Wanderlei SilvaRich Franklin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Wanderlei Silva(4 fights)Rich Franklin(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -287.0|Blue +287.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wanderlei SilvaTargetRich Franklin

By target zone

29% acc · 88%

Head

32% acc · 80%

33% acc · 5%

Body

79% acc · 18%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

27% acc · 81%

Distance

118

36% acc · 97%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

71% acc · 17%

Ground

50% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Wanderlei Silva rounds

even

Rich Franklin rounds

Round 1Rich Franklin edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Wanderlei Silva edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:39

Knockdowns1

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Rich Franklin edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:48Control

Round 4Rich Franklin edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Rich Franklin edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

58 / 187

Sig Strikes

122 / 336

29.2%

Sig Str %

36%

80 / 213

Total Strikes

126 / 342

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

0:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rich Franklin	27 / 63	27 / 63	0 / 0
1	Wanderlei Silva	13 / 39	13 / 39	0 / 0
2	Rich Franklin	28 / 67	28 / 67	0 / 1
2	Wanderlei Silva	23 / 64	45 / 90	0 / 0
3	Rich Franklin	21 / 57	25 / 63	1 / 1
3	Wanderlei Silva	2 / 17	2 / 17	0 / 0
4	Wanderlei Silva	10 / 22	10 / 22	0 / 0
4	Rich Franklin	22 / 68	22 / 68	0 / 0
5	Rich Franklin	24 / 81	24 / 81	0 / 0
5	Wanderlei Silva	10 / 45	10 / 45	0 / 0

Wanderlei Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4

Rich Franklin

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4