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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Wanderlei Silva won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1490
Elo1490
Cung Le

Wanderlei SilvavsCung LeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · Saturday, November 19, 2011San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Wanderlei Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:49

Style matchupWanderlei Silva: Well-roundedvsCung Le: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Wanderlei Silva wins(57.8%)

Actual result: Wanderlei Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wanderlei Silva at +180 American odds

+$180 profit

$280 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Wanderlei Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cung Le has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Cung Le is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Wanderlei Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Cung Le has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cung Le (53.5%).
  • Wanderlei Silva has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Wanderlei Silva
Red Corner
VS
Cung Le
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
1490
Elo
1490
50
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wanderlei Silva
oldest →
L
KOvs Chris Leben · Jul 11
L
vs Rich Franklin · Jun 12
W
KOvs Brian Stann · Mar 13
latest
Cung Le
oldest →
W
vs Patrick Cote · Jul 12
W
KOvs Rich Franklin · Nov 12
L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Aug 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wanderlei SilvaMetricCung Le
2.79
Strikes / min
4.36
2.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
60%
Strike defense
66%
0.97
TDs / 15 min
1.37
62%
Takedown defense
88%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+1.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes20.1 vs Takedowns0.2 vs Sub Atts0.11 vs Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Wanderlei SilvaCung Le

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Wanderlei Silva(4 fights)Cung Le(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wanderlei SilvaTargetCung Le

By target zone

31
35% acc · 72%
Head
13
24% acc · 41%
8
80% acc · 19%
Body
12
63% acc · 38%
4
67% acc · 9%
Leg
7
88% acc · 22%

By position

30
36% acc · 70%
Distance
32
41% acc · 100%
13
65% acc · 30%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Wanderlei Silva rounds
1
even
0
Cung Le rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Wanderlei Silva edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
43 / 104
Sig Strikes
32 / 81
43.5%
Sig Str %
39.5%
51 / 112
Total Strikes
32 / 81
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:13
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cung Le16 / 4516 / 450 / 00
1Wanderlei Silva17 / 6017 / 600 / 00
2Cung Le16 / 3616 / 360 / 10
2Wanderlei Silva26 / 4434 / 520 / 00

Wanderlei Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4

Cung Le

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4