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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Leben won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Elo1353
Chris Leben

Wanderlei SilvavsChris LebenUFC Prediction Result

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · Saturday, July 2, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Leben won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:27

Model Prediction: Chris Leben wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Chris Leben wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Leben at +185 American odds

+$185 profit

$285 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Chris Leben enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Wanderlei Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris Leben has lost 60% of fights by KO.
  • Chris Leben is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Wanderlei Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Chris Leben (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Wanderlei Silva
Red Corner
VS
Chris Leben
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
1490
Elo
1353
50
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wanderlei Silva
oldest →
W
KOvs Cung Le · Nov 11
L
vs Rich Franklin · Jun 12
W
KOvs Brian Stann · Mar 13
latest
Chris LebenL5 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Brian Stann · Jan 11
L
KOvs Mark Munoz · Nov 11
L
vs Derek Brunson · Dec 12
L
vs Andrew Craig · Jul 13
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Dec 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wanderlei SilvaMetricChris Leben
2.79
Strikes / min
2.87
2.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
60%
Strike defense
52%
0.97
TDs / 15 min
1.14
62%
Takedown defense
53%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1517Strikes22.3 vs 27.6Takedowns0.3 vs 0.9Sub Atts0.13 vs 0.47Form0.0 vs 0.1
Wanderlei SilvaChris Leben

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Wanderlei Silva(4 fights)Chris Leben(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +137.4|Blue -137.4
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +48.1|Blue -48.1
Grappler Score
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wanderlei SilvaTargetChris Leben

By target zone

3
38% acc · 100%
Head
7
88% acc · 78%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 22%

By position

3
38% acc · 100%
Distance
3
75% acc · 33%
0
Clinch
2
100% acc · 22%
0
Ground
4
100% acc · 44%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Wanderlei Silva rounds
0
even
1
Chris Leben rounds
Round 1Chris Leben edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 8
Sig Strikes
9 / 10
37%
Sig Str %
90%
3 / 8
Total Strikes
12 / 13
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chris Leben9 / 1012 / 130 / 00
1Wanderlei Silva3 / 83 / 80 / 00

Wanderlei Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4

Chris Leben

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8