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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Wanderlei Silva won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1490
Elo1352
Brian Stann

Wanderlei SilvavsBrian StannUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · Saturday, March 2, 2013Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Wanderlei Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:08

Style matchupWanderlei Silva: Well-roundedvsBrian Stann: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Brian Stann wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Wanderlei Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brian Stann at -300 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Brian Stann is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Wanderlei Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Wanderlei Silva
Red Corner
VS
Brian Stann
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
1490
Elo
1352
50
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wanderlei Silva
oldest →
L
KOvs Chris Leben · Jul 11
W
KOvs Cung Le · Nov 11
L
vs Rich Franklin · Jun 12
latest
Brian Stann
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris Leben · Jan 11
W
KOvs Jorge Santiago · May 11
L
SUBvs Chael Sonnen · Oct 11
W
KOvs Alessio Sakara · Apr 12
L
vs Michael Bisping · Sep 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wanderlei SilvaMetricBrian Stann
2.79
Strikes / min
3.28
2.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
60%
Strike defense
59%
0.97
TDs / 15 min
0.12
62%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1486 vs 1530Strikes25.6 vs 29.0Takedowns0.2 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.09 vs 0.30Form-0.4 vs -0.1
Wanderlei SilvaBrian Stann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Wanderlei Silva(4 fights)Brian Stann(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.2|Blue -138.2
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wanderlei SilvaTargetBrian Stann

By target zone

37
49% acc · 86%
Head
23
45% acc · 53%
5
83% acc · 12%
Body
9
75% acc · 21%
1
100% acc · 2%
Leg
11
85% acc · 26%

By position

30
46% acc · 70%
Distance
31
55% acc · 72%
8
62% acc · 19%
Clinch
12
60% acc · 28%
5
100% acc · 12%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Wanderlei Silva rounds
0
even
1
Brian Stann rounds
Round 1Brian Stann edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:32
Knockdowns1
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:54Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Wanderlei Silva edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
1
43 / 83
Sig Strikes
43 / 76
51.5%
Sig Str %
54.5%
49 / 97
Total Strikes
65 / 103
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:36
Ctrl Time
0:54

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Brian Stann31 / 5253 / 790 / 00
1Wanderlei Silva24 / 4630 / 600 / 20
2Brian Stann12 / 2412 / 240 / 00
2Wanderlei Silva19 / 3719 / 370 / 00

Wanderlei Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4

Brian Stann

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7