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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Nikita Krylov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1402

Elo1485

Walt HarrisvsNikita KrylovUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · Saturday, January 25, 2014Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Nikita Krylov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:25

Style matchupWalt Harris: StrikervsNikita Krylov: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Nikita Krylov wins(70.1%)

Actual result: Nikita Krylov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nikita Krylov at +355 American odds

+$355 profit

$455 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Walt Harris has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Walt Harris

Red Corner

Nikita Krylov

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+355

(22%)

1402

Elo

1485

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Walt HarrisL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19

KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20

KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21

latest

Nikita Krylov

oldest →

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25

KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25

KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26

KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Walt HarrisMetricNikita Krylov

3.05

Strikes / min

4.36

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.59

54%

Strike defense

47%

0.29

TDs / 15 min

2.05

70%

Takedown defense

53%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap+1.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Walt HarrisNikita Krylov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Walt Harris(10 fights)Nikita Krylov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -83.7|Blue +83.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Walt HarrisTargetNikita Krylov

By target zone

0% acc

Head

56% acc · 45%

Body

100% acc · 9%

100% acc · 100%

Leg

83% acc · 45%

By position

20% acc · 100%

Distance

73% acc · 73%

Clinch

Ground

60% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Walt Harris rounds

even

Nikita Krylov rounds

Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 5

Sig Strikes

11 / 16

20%

Sig Str %

68%

1 / 5

Total Strikes

11 / 16

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nikita Krylov	11 / 16	11 / 16	0 / 0	0
1	Walt Harris	1 / 5	1 / 5	0 / 0	0

Walt Harris

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15

Nikita Krylov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights23