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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Mark Godbeer won · DQ R1

Elo1402

Elo1491

Walt HarrisvsMark GodbeerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · Saturday, November 4, 2017New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Mark Godbeer won

DQ · Round 1 · 4:29

Style matchupWalt Harris: StrikervsMark Godbeer: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Mark Godbeer wins(63.9%)

Actual result: Mark Godbeer wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Godbeer at +310 American odds

+$310 profit

$410 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Walt Harris has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Walt Harris

Red Corner

Mark Godbeer

Blue Corner

-370

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+310

(24%)

1402

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'4"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Walt HarrisL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19

KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20

KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21

latest

Mark Godbeer

oldest →

SUBvs Justin Ledet · Nov 16

vs Daniel Spitz · Mar 17

SUBvs Dmitry Sosnovskiy · Mar 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Walt HarrisMetricMark Godbeer

3.05

Strikes / min

3.97

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.30

54%

Strike defense

54%

0.29

TDs / 15 min

0.00

70%

Takedown defense

28%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.67

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Walt HarrisMark Godbeer

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Walt Harris(10 fights)Mark Godbeer(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -89.4|Blue +89.4

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -217.0|Blue +217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Walt HarrisTargetMark Godbeer

By target zone

55% acc · 81%

Head

15% acc · 67%

57% acc · 19%

Body

100% acc · 33%

Leg

0% acc

By position

26% acc · 24%

Distance

14% acc · 67%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 33%

83% acc · 71%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Walt Harris rounds

even

Mark Godbeer rounds

Round 1Walt Harris edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control3:11

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 38

Sig Strikes

3 / 15

55%

Sig Str %

20%

34 / 53

Total Strikes

9 / 22

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:11

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mark Godbeer	3 / 15	9 / 22	0 / 0	0
1	Walt Harris	21 / 38	34 / 53	1 / 1	0

Walt Harris

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15

Mark Godbeer

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4