Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Walt Harris won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1402

Elo1377

Walt HarrisvsDaniel SpitzUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · Friday, June 1, 2018Utica, New York, USA

Official fight result

Walt Harris won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:59

Model Prediction: Daniel Spitz wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Walt Harris wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Spitz at +180 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Daniel Spitz is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Walt Harris has lost 56% of fights by KO.
Walt Harris has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Daniel Spitz has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Walt Harris

Red Corner

Daniel Spitz

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1402

Elo

1377

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'7"

195.58 cm

Reach

208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Walt HarrisL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19

KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20

KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21

latest

Daniel Spitz

oldest →

vs Mark Godbeer · Mar 17

KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Sep 17

vs Tanner Boser · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Walt HarrisMetricDaniel Spitz

3.05

Strikes / min

2.60

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

5.30

54%

Strike defense

46%

0.29

TDs / 15 min

0.74

70%

Takedown defense

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-2.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Walt HarrisDaniel Spitz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Walt Harris(10 fights)Daniel Spitz(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.6|Blue -24.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Walt HarrisTargetDaniel Spitz

By target zone

31% acc · 66%

Head

6% acc · 6%

43% acc · 21%

Body

38% acc · 29%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

92% acc · 65%

By position

27% acc · 62%

Distance

40% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

82% acc · 31%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Walt Harris rounds

even

Daniel Spitz rounds

Round 1Walt Harris edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Walt Harris edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 79

Sig Strikes

17 / 42

36%

Sig Str %

40.5%

30 / 80

Total Strikes

17 / 42

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Daniel Spitz	7 / 16	7 / 16	0 / 0
1	Walt Harris	11 / 32	11 / 32	0 / 0
2	Daniel Spitz	10 / 26	10 / 26	0 / 0
2	Walt Harris	18 / 47	19 / 48	0 / 0

Walt Harris

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15

Daniel Spitz

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights4