Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Walt Harris won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1402

Elo1358

Walt HarrisvsCody EastUFC Prediction Result

UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Saturday, April 23, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Walt Harris won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:18

Style matchupWalt Harris: StrikervsCody East: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Walt Harris wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Walt Harris wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Walt Harris at +160 American odds

+$160 profit

$260 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cody East has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Walt Harris has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Walt Harris has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Walt Harris

Red Corner

Cody East

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1402

Elo

1358

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Walt HarrisL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19

KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20

KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21

latest

Cody East

oldest →

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Oct 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Walt HarrisMetricCody East

3.05

Strikes / min

4.15

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

7.32

54%

Strike defense

40%

0.29

TDs / 15 min

3.97

70%

Takedown defense

16%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28Δ 2.89 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Walt HarrisCody East

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Walt Harris(10 fights)Cody East(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +43.6|Blue -43.6

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Walt HarrisTargetCody East

By target zone

49% acc · 81%

Head

34% acc · 62%

80% acc · 13%

Body

50% acc · 12%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

78% acc · 27%

By position

43% acc · 42%

Distance

42% acc · 85%

50% acc · 13%

Clinch

44% acc · 15%

70% acc · 45%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Walt Harris rounds

even

Cody East rounds

Round 1Walt Harris edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 58

Sig Strikes

26 / 62

53%

Sig Str %

41%

40 / 69

Total Strikes

26 / 62

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody East	26 / 62	26 / 62	0 / 0	0
1	Walt Harris	31 / 58	40 / 69	0 / 0	0

Walt Harris

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15

Cody East

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach—

Fights2