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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Waldo Cortes Acosta won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1562

Elo1482

Waldo Cortes AcostavsShamil GazievUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Saturday, November 22, 2025Doha, Qatar

Official fight result

Waldo Cortes Acosta won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:22

Style matchupWaldo Cortes Acosta: Pressure fightervsShamil Gaziev: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins(63.6%)

Actual result: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes Acosta at -148 American odds

+$68 profit

$168 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Shamil Gaziev has lost 100% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Red Corner

Shamil Gaziev

Blue Corner

-148

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+126

(44%)

1562

Elo

1482

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'4"

198.12 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Waldo Cortes Acosta

oldest →

vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 25

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25

KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jan 26

DECvs Alexander Volkov · May 26

latest

Shamil Gaziev

oldest →

KOvs Martin Buday · Dec 23

KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Mar 24

vs Don'Tale Mayes · Aug 24

KOvs Thomas Petersen · Feb 25

KOvs Brando Pericic · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Waldo Cortes AcostaMetricShamil Gaziev

5.34

Strikes / min

2.94

3.63

Strikes absorbed / min

4.92

54%

Strike defense

45%

0.40

TDs / 15 min

1.06

73%

Takedown defense

83%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.71Δ 3.69 — meaningful gap-1.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Waldo Cortes AcostaShamil Gaziev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Waldo Cortes Acosta(10 fights)Shamil Gaziev(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +80.0|Blue -80.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -273.0|Blue +273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Waldo Cortes AcostaTargetShamil Gaziev

By target zone

42% acc · 80%

Head

31% acc · 67%

100% acc · 10%

Body

100% acc · 17%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

50% acc · 90%

Distance

40% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Waldo Cortes Acosta rounds

even

Shamil Gaziev rounds

Round 1Waldo Cortes Acosta edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns2

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 21

Sig Strikes

6 / 15

47%

Sig Str %

40%

15 / 26

Total Strikes

6 / 15

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Shamil Gaziev	6 / 15	6 / 15	0 / 0	0
1	Waldo Cortes Acosta	10 / 21	15 / 26	0 / 0	0

Waldo Cortes Acosta

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights7

Shamil Gaziev

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights5