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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1562

Elo1468

Waldo Cortes-AcostavsLukasz BrzeskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, August 26, 2023Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:01

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins(50.0%)

Actual result: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes-Acosta at -205 American odds

+$49 profit

$149 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Red Corner

Lukasz Brzeski

Blue Corner

-205

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1562

Elo

1468

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'3"

198.12 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Waldo Cortes-AcostaW2 streak

oldest →

vs Jared Vanderaa · Oct 22

vs Chase Sherman · Nov 22

vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 23

vs Andrei Arlovski · Jan 24

vs Robelis Despaigne · May 24

latest

Lukasz BrzeskiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Karl Williams · Mar 23

vs Valter Walker · Apr 24

KOvs Mick Parkin · Jul 24

KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Dec 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Waldo Cortes-AcostaMetricLukasz Brzeski

—

Strikes / min

4.90

—

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

—

Strike defense

54%

—

TDs / 15 min

0.41

—

Takedown defense

35%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Waldo Cortes-AcostaLukasz Brzeski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Waldo Cortes-Acosta(10 fights)Lukasz Brzeski(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +93.3|Blue -93.3

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3

Lukasz Brzeski

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights7