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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won · U-DEC R3

Elo1562

Elo1436

Waldo Cortes-AcostavsJared VanderaaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Saturday, October 29, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Waldo Cortes-Acosta won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins(73.5%)

Actual result: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Waldo Cortes-Acosta at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Red Corner

Jared Vanderaa

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1562

Elo

1436

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'4"

198.12 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Waldo Cortes-AcostaW3 streak

oldest →

vs Chase Sherman · Nov 22

vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 23

KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Aug 23

vs Andrei Arlovski · Jan 24

vs Robelis Despaigne · May 24

latest

Jared VanderaaL4 streak

oldest →

vs Justin Tafa · May 21

KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Oct 21

vs Andrei Arlovski · Feb 22

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 22

KOvs Chase Sherman · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Waldo Cortes-AcostaMetricJared Vanderaa

—

Strikes / min

4.96

—

Strikes absorbed / min

5.67

—

Strike defense

45%

—

TDs / 15 min

0.18

—

Takedown defense

20%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Waldo Cortes-AcostaJared Vanderaa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Waldo Cortes-Acosta(10 fights)Jared Vanderaa(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +125.5|Blue -125.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3

Jared Vanderaa

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights7